","type":"raw_html"},{"_id":"2WP4RWJC4JFRBPVQC2I3DDHR2A","additional_properties":{},"content":"Burford Capital —un fondo de litigios con sede en el Reino Unido— ganó la subasta con una oferta de apenas 15 millones de euros y se quedó con el 70% de cualquier eventual indemnización. También financió la demanda de Eton Park. ","type":"text"},{"_id":"65LE3DKO6VAOFLJSO5JGP7SY2A","additional_properties":{},"content":"Ese mismo año, el fondo buitre inició formalmente la demanda en los tribunales del Distrito Sur de Nueva York, argumentando que YPF y el Estado argentino habían aceptado la jurisdicción estadounidense a través de sus prospectos de emisión registrados ante la SEC.","type":"text"},{"_id":"3VZ7YODZKJG7LLDH3VHEPJN5DA","additional_properties":{},"content":"2019: la Corte Suprema de EE.UU. confirma la jurisdicción","level":2,"type":"header"},{"_id":"CUIELILHABFQNLFHD7DNA7L4H4","additional_properties":{},"content":"El gobierno de Mauricio Macri intentó que el caso se trasladara a la Argentina, argumentando que el litigio debía resolverse ante la justicia local. ","type":"text"},{"_id":"S7JZGEYZYJBZ7JD2V3ISLFTGXE","additional_properties":{},"content":"Sin embargo, la Corte Suprema de los Estados Unidos rechazó ese planteo y confirmó la competencia de los tribunales de Nueva York. 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","type":"text"},{"_id":"EKSKP2QZAVCBTPRXOB2CDYPYU4","additional_properties":{},"content":"La magistrada determinó que el Estado era responsable ante Petersen y Eton Park por no haber lanzado la OPA en 2012; que YPF, en cambio, quedaba eximida de responsabilidad; y que los argumentos argentinos para reducir los daños eran inválidos. ","type":"text"},{"_id":"2WM3FB7O5BANPGCBNYYXDUE5NY","additional_properties":{},"content":"El fallo afirmó que “una vez que el tribunal decide las cuestiones legales, los hechos de este caso demandan un resultado particular” y que “no existe ninguna cuestión de hecho sobre si la República incumplió”.","type":"text"},{"_id":"IS6BL7HMEVGQ5AWS7MQGJ5FY5U","additional_properties":{"fullSizeResizeUrl":"/resizer/v2/IS6BL7HMEVGQ5AWS7MQGJ5FY5U.jpg?auth=5a46c1f59420609e7fb260152ce3bbf9ff15efc05750993f4d298c4251e4bdc7","galleries":[],"mime_type":"image/jpeg","originalName":"65b95af9553dc.jpg","originalUrl":"https://cloudfront-us-east-1.images.arcpublishing.com/elcronista/IS6BL7HMEVGQ5AWS7MQGJ5FY5U.jpg","proxyUrl":"/resizer/v2/IS6BL7HMEVGQ5AWS7MQGJ5FY5U.jpg?auth=5a46c1f59420609e7fb260152ce3bbf9ff15efc05750993f4d298c4251e4bdc7","published":true,"resizeUrl":"/resizer/v2/IS6BL7HMEVGQ5AWS7MQGJ5FY5U.jpg?auth=5a46c1f59420609e7fb260152ce3bbf9ff15efc05750993f4d298c4251e4bdc7","restricted":false,"thumbnailResizeUrl":"/resizer/v2/IS6BL7HMEVGQ5AWS7MQGJ5FY5U.jpg?auth=5a46c1f59420609e7fb260152ce3bbf9ff15efc05750993f4d298c4251e4bdc7&width=300","version":1,"alt_text":"La jueza Loretta Preska rechazó el pedido de anular el fallo sobre YPF","link":""},"address":{},"alt_text":"La jueza Loretta Preska rechazó el pedido de anular el fallo sobre YPF","auth":{"1":"5a46c1f59420609e7fb260152ce3bbf9ff15efc05750993f4d298c4251e4bdc7"},"caption":"La jueza Loretta Preska, que había tomado el caso luego de la muerte de Griesa, condenó a la Argentina a pagar u$s 16.100 M","copyright":"el-cronista","created_date":"2025-10-18T17:30:36Z","height":540,"last_updated_date":"2025-10-18T17:30:37Z","licensable":false,"owner":{"id":"elcronista"},"source":{"additional_properties":{"editor":"photo center"},"edit_url":"","system":"photo center"},"subtitle":"La jueza Loretta Preska rechazó el pedido de anular el fallo sobre YPF","type":"image","url":"https://cloudfront-us-east-1.images.arcpublishing.com/elcronista/IS6BL7HMEVGQ5AWS7MQGJ5FY5U.jpg","version":"0.10.9","width":960},{"_id":"7VXNQEQJFZAZPHHYNMAGTYMHWQ","additional_properties":{},"content":"Septiembre de 2023: condena histórica de u$s 16.100 millones","level":2,"type":"header"},{"_id":"OQYP3Q35U5AS5NFRE23NJE74A4","additional_properties":{},"content":"El 8 de septiembre, Preska determinó que la fecha exacta de la estatización fue el 16 de abril de 2012 y aceptó el cálculo de intereses propuesto por los peritos de Burford, a una tasa del 8% anual. ","type":"text"},{"_id":"3HOWQHPNGZB2JG3TQBTIKTYXTY","additional_properties":{},"content":"El 15 de septiembre dictó la sentencia definitiva de primera instancia: la Argentina debía pagar u$s 14.390 millones a Petersen y u$s 1710 millones a Eton Park, con una condena total de us 16.100 millones —incluyendo u$s 8430 millones en daños y u$s 7670 millones en intereses acumulados durante 11 años-. ","type":"text"},{"_id":"OSHYMCDA2NGS5J6JIGVSBVN7PM","additional_properties":{},"content":"El presidente Milei anunció la apelación y acusó a Kicillof por la expropiación.","type":"text"},{"_id":"LGHVZ6W55FA3ZPCKDHXWMJ3MEU","additional_properties":{},"content":"Enero de 2024: el fallo se vuelve ejecutable","level":2,"type":"header"},{"_id":"G7YGRGA7ERCYJG5ZMYJRSC6PPY","additional_properties":{},"content":"La Argentina apeló la sentencia, pero no presentó ninguna garantía económica (“supersedeas bond”) para suspender su ejecución mientras tramitaba el recurso. ","type":"text"},{"_id":"I7CSGXYWIFCHFNLZPIBDM7PVOA","additional_properties":{},"content":"En consecuencia, el 11 de enero de 2024 la jueza Preska habilitó a Burford a avanzar con la ejecución del fallo, permitiendo la búsqueda de activos del Estado argentino que pudieran ser embargables en suelo estadounidense. ","type":"text"},{"_id":"RBYS5OVSHZCTLJORJ2TUJ4V5UU","additional_properties":{"fullSizeResizeUrl":"/resizer/v2/RBYS5OVSHZCTLJORJ2TUJ4V5UU.jpg?auth=edee9dd5377c29139432c0fcf3058cb1cd62d2ddf498e5c22424acb7b9ffb9c7","galleries":[],"mime_type":"image/jpeg","originalName":"64285a301c8eb.jpg","originalUrl":"https://cloudfront-us-east-1.images.arcpublishing.com/elcronista/RBYS5OVSHZCTLJORJ2TUJ4V5UU.jpg","proxyUrl":"/resizer/v2/RBYS5OVSHZCTLJORJ2TUJ4V5UU.jpg?auth=edee9dd5377c29139432c0fcf3058cb1cd62d2ddf498e5c22424acb7b9ffb9c7","published":true,"resizeUrl":"/resizer/v2/RBYS5OVSHZCTLJORJ2TUJ4V5UU.jpg?auth=edee9dd5377c29139432c0fcf3058cb1cd62d2ddf498e5c22424acb7b9ffb9c7","restricted":false,"takenOn":"2022-04-17T14:19:23Z","thumbnailResizeUrl":"/resizer/v2/RBYS5OVSHZCTLJORJ2TUJ4V5UU.jpg?auth=edee9dd5377c29139432c0fcf3058cb1cd62d2ddf498e5c22424acb7b9ffb9c7&width=300","version":1,"alt_text":"YPF","link":""},"address":{},"alt_text":"YPF","auth":{"1":"edee9dd5377c29139432c0fcf3058cb1cd62d2ddf498e5c22424acb7b9ffb9c7"},"caption":"En 2023, Preska decidió que la Argentina debía pagar u$s 14.390 millones a Petersen y u$s 1710 millones a Eton Park.","copyright":"el-cronista","created_date":"2025-11-01T01:31:31Z","credits":{},"height":576,"last_updated_date":"2025-11-01T01:31:32Z","licensable":false,"owner":{"id":"elcronista"},"source":{"additional_properties":{"editor":"photo center"},"edit_url":"","system":"photo center"},"subtitle":"YPF","taxonomy":{},"type":"image","url":"https://cloudfront-us-east-1.images.arcpublishing.com/elcronista/RBYS5OVSHZCTLJORJ2TUJ4V5UU.jpg","version":"0.10.9","width":1024},{"_id":"G6TR5PFXIJC6ROPIJBCMBCR4CA","additional_properties":{},"content":"Con los intereses acumulados desde 2023, la deuda ya rondaba los u$s 18.000 millones al momento de los alegatos de apelación.","type":"text"},{"_id":"V3KKQ6DABJCVZLIEXDVVW2DBGY","additional_properties":{},"content":"Junio de 2025: la transferencia del 51% de YPF y el primer freno","level":2,"type":"header"},{"_id":"TUZY5ZIMA5DXVIPQA4HNHFBCAY","additional_properties":{},"content":"En junio de 2025, la jueza Preska escaló la presión y ordenó que la Argentina transfiriera el 51% de las acciones de YPF al Banco de Nueva York Mellon como pago parcial de la sentencia —un plazo de apenas 14 días. ","type":"text"},{"_id":"ZL2G7P7E55CCDIAKTWJIZW43W4","additional_properties":{},"content":"La medida sacudió al mercado: las acciones de la petrolera cayeron más de 5% en cuestión de horas. ","type":"text"},{"_id":"YFTELOFGKNDHLP46KY5VGSFCVM","additional_properties":{},"content":"Sin embargo, en julio la Cámara de Apelaciones del Segundo Circuito intervino y suspendió esa orden, frenando la estrategia de Preska por primera vez. El gobierno argentino calificó la decisión como “histórica y sin precedentes”.","type":"text"},{"_id":"RBTWVS6CPVCTHI5CZWW22D3YMY","additional_properties":{},"content":"Octubre de 2025: la audiencia oral que ilusionó a la Argentina","level":2,"type":"header"},{"_id":"QLSMJDMBIZF6BOGFPWIDO2B6QA","additional_properties":{},"content":"El 29 de octubre se realizó la audiencia oral ante la Cámara de Apelaciones. ","type":"text"},{"_id":"M6CBYMVKYRASFDE5KOXXUYPV2U","additional_properties":{},"content":"Los jueces Denny Chin, José Cabranes y Beth Robinson escucharon durante 96 minutos los argumentos de la defensa argentina —el estudio Sullivan & Cromwell LLP— y de Burford Capital. ","type":"text"},{"_id":"BPOHI6GKGVCZJGSUPWJSWT6UK4","additional_properties":{"fullSizeResizeUrl":"/resizer/v2/BPOHI6GKGVCZJGSUPWJSWT6UK4.jpg?auth=028eaf5e1cf43a15df9791fa77f8ed167af6e219d5bd809a3d978ea9d8ec2a2c","galleries":[],"mime_type":"image/jpeg","originalName":"64275b0cc558a.jpg","originalUrl":"https://cloudfront-us-east-1.images.arcpublishing.com/elcronista/BPOHI6GKGVCZJGSUPWJSWT6UK4.jpg","proxyUrl":"/resizer/v2/BPOHI6GKGVCZJGSUPWJSWT6UK4.jpg?auth=028eaf5e1cf43a15df9791fa77f8ed167af6e219d5bd809a3d978ea9d8ec2a2c","published":true,"resizeUrl":"/resizer/v2/BPOHI6GKGVCZJGSUPWJSWT6UK4.jpg?auth=028eaf5e1cf43a15df9791fa77f8ed167af6e219d5bd809a3d978ea9d8ec2a2c","restricted":false,"thumbnailResizeUrl":"/resizer/v2/BPOHI6GKGVCZJGSUPWJSWT6UK4.jpg?auth=028eaf5e1cf43a15df9791fa77f8ed167af6e219d5bd809a3d978ea9d8ec2a2c&width=300","version":1,"alt_text":"64275b0cc558a.jpg","link":""},"address":{},"alt_text":"64275b0cc558a.jpg","auth":{"1":"028eaf5e1cf43a15df9791fa77f8ed167af6e219d5bd809a3d978ea9d8ec2a2c"},"caption":"El 11 de enero de 2024 la jueza Preska habilitó a Burford a avanzar con la ejecución del fallo.","copyright":"el-cronista","created_date":"2025-09-13T11:41:58Z","height":810,"last_updated_date":"2025-09-13T11:41:59Z","licensable":false,"owner":{"id":"elcronista"},"source":{"additional_properties":{"editor":"photo center"},"edit_url":"","system":"photo center"},"subtitle":"64275b0cc558a.jpg","type":"image","url":"https://cloudfront-us-east-1.images.arcpublishing.com/elcronista/BPOHI6GKGVCZJGSUPWJSWT6UK4.jpg","version":"0.10.9","width":1440},{"_id":"SK6NEZI7UFDHFDT6EVM4POWTDM","additional_properties":{},"content":"La defensa presentó tres líneas argumentales: ","type":"text"},{"_id":"QPYUHLXJUBD6ROICW65YZABA6U","items":[{"_id":"YZ36XLX4HNBYHOXDUKUHHXCNKM","additional_properties":{"indent":0},"alignment":"left","content":"Que el caso debía tramitarse en Argentina.","type":"text"},{"_id":"GG3TT4AYIVF4XE3CTB6SUNTWZA","additional_properties":{"indent":0},"alignment":"left","content":"Que Preska había interpretado erróneamente el derecho argentino.","type":"text"},{"_id":"JYHR4HWI4JHBFGXZJCIGJHTXGU","additional_properties":{"indent":0},"alignment":"left","content":"Y que, subsidiariamente, la indemnización debía calcularse desde 2012. ","type":"text"}],"list_type":"ordered","type":"list"},{"_id":"ZZUSNAVVJNGV5L7EEFRE5HBPHI","additional_properties":{},"content":"El tono de las preguntas de los jueces, especialmente sobre la jurisdicción y el derecho argentino aplicable, generó optimismo en el gobierno de Milei.","type":"text"},{"_id":"RNWZJ5P2CZGA3IO72NDOU5DBYU","additional_properties":{},"content":"Marzo de 2026: segundo freno a Preska y amicus curiae de EE.UU.","level":2,"type":"header"},{"_id":"HT336RC24BC2XLQGY74IV2BJTI","additional_properties":{},"content":"En las semanas previas al fallo, la Cámara de Apelaciones volvió a intervenir: ordenó suspender el proceso de búsqueda de activos y la moción de desacato que Burford impulsaba para forzar a Argentina a negociar. ","type":"text"},{"_id":"3PNWGACJAVFIBH7MFXANL5PTWA","additional_properties":{},"content":"Burford esperaba que Preska declarara a la Argentina en desacato en una audiencia prevista para el 31 de marzo y 1° de abril, pero la suspensión dejó sin efecto ese encuentro. ","type":"text"},{"_id":"SEPU2YLTWFHSRMZFCQUOFXCGDM","additional_properties":{},"content":"En paralelo, el gobierno de Donald Trump se presentó como amicus curiae ante la Cámara en favor de la Argentina —un apoyo que distintos actores judiciales y políticos señalaron como relevante en las instancias finales del litigio.","type":"text"},{"_id":"BUODIQNDM5DLHC6XNL5C3D6LMA","additional_properties":{"fullSizeResizeUrl":"/resizer/v2/BUODIQNDM5DLHC6XNL5C3D6LMA.jpg?auth=1ee0519f05ad87e3acb89b0b44071e44a391c497228b67de52506340a2c43b18","galleries":[],"mime_type":"image/jpeg","originalName":"68ee979dd4a3e.jpg","originalUrl":"https://cloudfront-us-east-1.images.arcpublishing.com/elcronista/BUODIQNDM5DLHC6XNL5C3D6LMA.jpg","proxyUrl":"/resizer/v2/BUODIQNDM5DLHC6XNL5C3D6LMA.jpg?auth=1ee0519f05ad87e3acb89b0b44071e44a391c497228b67de52506340a2c43b18","published":true,"resizeUrl":"/resizer/v2/BUODIQNDM5DLHC6XNL5C3D6LMA.jpg?auth=1ee0519f05ad87e3acb89b0b44071e44a391c497228b67de52506340a2c43b18","restricted":false,"thumbnailResizeUrl":"/resizer/v2/BUODIQNDM5DLHC6XNL5C3D6LMA.jpg?auth=1ee0519f05ad87e3acb89b0b44071e44a391c497228b67de52506340a2c43b18&width=300","version":1,"alt_text":"De CFK a Kicillof, el peronismo fustigó la alianza Milei-Trump: \"¡Ya saben lo que hay que hacer!\"","link":""},"address":{},"alt_text":"De CFK a Kicillof, el peronismo fustigó la alianza Milei-Trump: \"¡Ya saben lo que hay que hacer!\"","auth":{"1":"1ee0519f05ad87e3acb89b0b44071e44a391c497228b67de52506340a2c43b18"},"caption":"A principios de año, el gobierno de Donald Trump se presentó como amicus curiae ante la Cámara en favor de la Argentina.","copyright":"el-cronista","created_date":"2025-10-23T15:54:34Z","height":1080,"last_updated_date":"2025-10-23T15:54:34Z","licensable":false,"owner":{"id":"elcronista"},"source":{"additional_properties":{"editor":"photo center"},"edit_url":"","system":"photo center"},"subtitle":"De CFK a Kicillof, el peronismo fustigó la alianza Milei-Trump: \"¡Ya saben lo que hay que hacer!\"","type":"image","url":"https://cloudfront-us-east-1.images.arcpublishing.com/elcronista/BUODIQNDM5DLHC6XNL5C3D6LMA.jpg","version":"0.10.9","width":1920},{"_id":"4KAFKDNAYVC6XMAWRCZMREQOWE","additional_properties":{},"content":"27 de marzo de 2026: la Cámara revoca todo y Argentina sale victoriosa","level":2,"type":"header"},{"_id":"OPUDRTODC5HDFH6HLC3H2TG7XQ","additional_properties":{},"content":"En un desenlace inesperado para la mayoría de los analistas, la Cámara de Apelaciones del Segundo Circuito revocó íntegramente la condena. ","type":"text"},{"_id":"UI3WKBRYMBBX5FE56JSO3R2H3E","additional_properties":{},"content":"Los jueces determinaron que, bajo el derecho civil argentino, los estatutos de YPF no constituyen un contrato bilateral entre el Estado y los accionistas, sino un contrato plurilateral de organización interna. Por tanto, la cláusula de la OPA no genera un vínculo contractual directo con los accionistas minoritarios. ","type":"text"},{"_id":"7AOB6PZQUVHNHA3ZSFWMGUAHB4","additional_properties":{},"content":"Además, señalaron que los demandantes no aportaron ningún precedente del derecho argentino que reconozca una acción de daños por incumplimiento de estatutos entre accionistas. ","type":"text"},{"_id":"R7AQD3NZYBFVTJLABM5T4CHS7U","additional_properties":{"fullSizeResizeUrl":"/resizer/v2/R7AQD3NZYBFVTJLABM5T4CHS7U.png?auth=37eefc03b73f8b68947ac8e40ce6b756c979edcba1c2092a3a7e43af8013ed66","galleries":[],"ingestionMethod":"manual","mime_type":"image/png","originalName":"Captura de pantalla 2026-03-27 154727.png","originalUrl":"https://cloudfront-us-east-1.images.arcpublishing.com/elcronista/R7AQD3NZYBFVTJLABM5T4CHS7U.png","proxyUrl":"/resizer/v2/R7AQD3NZYBFVTJLABM5T4CHS7U.png?auth=37eefc03b73f8b68947ac8e40ce6b756c979edcba1c2092a3a7e43af8013ed66","published":true,"resizeUrl":"/resizer/v2/R7AQD3NZYBFVTJLABM5T4CHS7U.png?auth=37eefc03b73f8b68947ac8e40ce6b756c979edcba1c2092a3a7e43af8013ed66","restricted":false,"thumbnailResizeUrl":"/resizer/v2/R7AQD3NZYBFVTJLABM5T4CHS7U.png?auth=37eefc03b73f8b68947ac8e40ce6b756c979edcba1c2092a3a7e43af8013ed66&width=300","version":0,"template_id":1427,"alt_text":"","link":""},"address":{},"auth":{"1":"37eefc03b73f8b68947ac8e40ce6b756c979edcba1c2092a3a7e43af8013ed66"},"caption":"“Ganamos el juicio de YPF”, escribió Milei en sus redes sociales.","created_date":"2026-03-27T18:48:02Z","credits":{"affiliation":[{"name":"Captura de X","type":"author"}]},"height":600,"image_type":"photograph","last_updated_date":"2026-03-27T18:48:02Z","licensable":false,"owner":{"id":"elcronista","sponsored":false},"source":{"additional_properties":{"editor":"photo center"},"edit_url":"","system":"photo center"},"subtitle":"POSTEO DE MILEI","taxonomy":{"associated_tasks":[]},"type":"image","url":"https://cloudfront-us-east-1.images.arcpublishing.com/elcronista/R7AQD3NZYBFVTJLABM5T4CHS7U.png","version":"0.10.9","width":591,"syndication":{},"creditIPTC":"Captura de X"},{"_id":"EH7V3APCWBFO3PKHY7M3W2CI6E","additional_properties":{},"content":"Un segundo argumento giró en torno al artículo 28 de la Ley General de Expropiación, que prohíbe acciones de terceros que interfieran con una expropiación. La Cámara también confirmó la absolución de YPF como empresa.","type":"text"},{"_id":"EDSHLDSWSNAJNAZJVMZPLH5UAQ","additional_properties":{},"content":"El caso retorna al juzgado de Preska para que revise su decisión a la luz de estas conclusiones. Las partes tendrán como último recurso la Corte Suprema de los Estados Unidos. ","type":"text"},{"_id":"KPSJSBQ4N5AGVMZBSTPHFLLHLE","additional_properties":{},"content":"“Ganamos el juicio de YPF”, escribió Milei en sus redes sociales. 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La Procuraduría del Tesoro, señaló el economista, mantuvo durante más de una década una postura jurídica coherente que resistió cambios de signo político.","type":"text"},{"_id":"DL74SNJRHFFEZMZ24IHLPQR464","embed":{"config":{"tab":"noticia-interna","url":"/economia-politica/credito-hipotecario-es-buen-momento-para-tomarlo-que-piensa-el-director-del-banco-ciudad-y-su-nueva-apuesta/"},"id":"custom_powerup_1774890293257","url":"/"},"subtype":"powerup_related","type":"custom_embed"},{"_id":"2CFXDDRJHNBW5MBMU6CZFNOUNY","embed":{"config":{"tab":"noticia-interna","url":"/economia-politica/juicio-por-ypf-que-juega-a-favor-y-en-contra-de-burford-en-la-corte-suprema-de-eeuu-y-el-ciadi/"},"id":"custom_powerup_1774890305253","url":"/"},"subtype":"powerup_related","type":"custom_embed"},{"_id":"J3ZRALS65NG3FG3QJ2KD7MQAA4","additional_properties":{},"content":"La advertencia sobre el “estatismo como política”","level":2,"type":"header"},{"_id":"F7T3PRKQYFESTG6XR3ISDEORJI","additional_properties":{},"content":"El especialista también dejó en claro que el fallo favorable no debe leerse como una habilitación para futuros avances del Estado sobre el sector privado.","type":"text"},{"_id":"RVIROFNB4VCALPJFS7AZI3WISI","additional_properties":{},"content":"“Lo que sí me parece que está mal es ‘ahora vamos a estatizar todo porque total ganamos’. No, eso te va a llenar de juicio y es un problemón”, advirtió. Y recordó que el costo real de la estatización de 2012 no fue solo el pago de 5000 millones de dólares a Repsol, sino el peso permanente que ese episodio tuvo sobre el riesgo país: “Cuando vos analizabas con cualquier inversor de afuera el tema YPF y la estatización, estaba ahí”.","type":"text"},{"_id":"6OWGXIER7ZHR3ADAI5J6G6SNEI","embed":{"config":{"oembed":{"raw_oembed":{"html":"","id_extracted":"xa3oife","thumbnail_1080_url":"https://s2.dmcdn.net/v/aQBvA1fogk-NqorBM/x1080","thumbnail_360_url":"https://s2.dmcdn.net/v/aQBvA1fogk-G2Dqpb/x360","title":"Tomás Bulat: qué cambia con el fallo de YPF y por qué la inflación no empezará con cero en agosto","uploaded_time":1774889498,"url":"https://geo.dailymotion.com/player.html?video=xa3oife","width":550},"subtype":"dailymotion","type":"oembed_response"}},"id":"custom_powerup_1774890322006","url":"/"},"subtype":"powerup_dailymotion","type":"custom_embed"},{"_id":"IDSVALYYOVDOZOMJISYI2ZLPZA","additional_properties":{},"content":"Bulat amplió esa reflexión hacia lo que definió como el nudo central de la seguridad jurídica en Argentina: “Para los inversores extranjeros, la amenaza no pasa necesariamente por una estatización formal, sino por cualquier restricción que bloquee la movilidad del capital”.","type":"text"},{"_id":"3WM3ZVIZOVHTRP4GSTLMUBWGFM","additional_properties":{},"content":"“La seguridad jurídica es ¿qué puede pasar? Es el cepo cambiario, por ejemplo. No es estatizar algo o no, pero es bloquear la posibilidad de que tu empresa te devuelva la plata. Yo invierto en la Argentina y vos, de un gobierno a otro, me decís: ‘No podés girar más dividendos para afuera’. Yo como accionista, me quiero matar”, graficó.","type":"text"},{"_id":"CWYAOKRNXJBLLHQ4ICWGRQFGPY","additional_properties":{},"content":"Inflación: sin “cero” en el horizonte inmediato","level":2,"type":"header"},{"_id":"WMDLYVH45JEKBFSDTTTD7P52XI","additional_properties":{},"content":"El otro gran eje de la charla fue la dinámica de precios. Con marzo cerrando en torno al 2,9% según las propias mediciones de Bulat —“algunos colegas arriba de tres”, acotó—, el economista rechazó tanto el catastrofismo como el triunfalismo. “Así como en mayo la inflación dio 1,5% y dijimos ‘ya la inflación se terminó en la Argentina’, era mentira. Ahora que la carne subió y la inflación se fue a tres, tampoco es que volvió la Argentina que tiene 80% de inflación en un año. Ninguno de los dos polos son verdad”, sintetizó.","type":"text"},{"_id":"IUFNBTEGKVFRNJRHQ2H6SA7BQE","additional_properties":{},"content":"Detrás de la aceleración de los últimos meses, identificó tres factores convergentes: el rezago del tipo de cambio que intenta trasladarse a precios, la suba de carnes y el impacto de las tarifas. A eso se suma la indexación corta de algunos servicios —las prepagas como ejemplo emblemático— que impone un piso difícil de perforar. “Cuando la inflación es más alta en los meses anteriores, te va poniendo un piso nuevo en algunos bienes y servicios. La indexación tan corta en algunas cosas es un problema”, explicó.","type":"text"},{"_id":"AMUC3GNDWJCDNNUQKJXT4IMUBE","embed":{"config":{"tab":"noticia-interna","url":"/finanzas-mercados/el-gobierno-relaja-la-politica-monetaria-para-atender-la-actividad-pero-no-deja-de-mirar-un-factor-clave/"},"id":"custom_powerup_1774890411245","url":"/"},"subtype":"powerup_related","type":"custom_embed"},{"_id":"KWBFIQYR5VF6LPJ7BW6BOBLHVQ","additional_properties":{},"content":"En ese marco, cuestionó la apuesta oficial por una desinflación vertiginosa. “No hay un programa de estabilización que en dos o tres años logre que la inflación pase de 300 —como era— a cero”, sentenció. Y propuso una vara distinta para medir el éxito: “Yo creo que no sería un problema si vos me decís ‘bajé la inflación de 300 a 30 y este año va a dar 26 y el año que viene va a dar 20’. Si vamos en ese sendero y la actividad económica no se rompe, yo creo que todos compraríamos”.","type":"text"},{"_id":"YRJZOCKGEZAYXMIIEA5BCPF6HU","additional_properties":{},"content":"Ante la pregunta directa de si la inflación llegaría a cero en agosto —posibilidad que el oficialismo ha deslizado—, Bulat fue lapidario: “Para mí no. 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